Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 47% (+1) CON: 26% (-1) LDEM: 10% (-1) REF: 6% (-) GRN: 5% (-)

via @techneUK , 05 - 06 Jul

  • @[email protected]
    1•1 year ago

    Stealing my self appointed job!!

    Flavible:

    Party Pred % Pred Seats
    CON 🌳 26.0% 156
    LAB 🌹 47.0% 402
    LD 🔶 10.0% 35
    REFUK ➡️ 6.0% 0
    Green 🌍 5.0% 1
    SNP 🎗️ 3% 31
    PC 💮 0.5% 3

    Electoral Calculus (2023 Boundaries’):

    Party 2019 Votes 2019 Seats Pred Votes Gains Losses Net Change Pred Seats
    CON 🌳 44.7% 376 26.0% 1 282 -281 95
    LAB 🌹 33.0% 197 47.0% 293 0 +293 490
    LIB 🔶 11.8% 8 10% 10 0 +10 18
    Reform ➡️ 2.1% 0 6% 0 0 +0 0
    Green 🌍 2.8% 1 5% 0 0 +0 1
    SNP 🎗️ 4.0% 48 3.5% 0 23 -23 25
    PlaidC 💮 0.5% 2 0.4% 1 1 +0 2
    Other ⬜️ 1.1% 0 0.1% 0 0 +0 1
    N.Ire ⬜️ - 18 - 0 0 +0 18

    That Con gain is Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey ‘from SNP’ but is a new seat for 2023.