- cross-posted to:
- boxoffice
- cross-posted to:
- boxoffice
UPDATED, Friday afternoon: Two animated movies, Disney/Pixar’s Elemental and Sony Animation’s monolith Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse, have punked The Flash and are in a fierce fight for No. 1 at the weekend box office with about $18 million apiece after Fridays that are estimated around $5.4M each.
If a bulk of those figures stick, Elemental, which posted one of the lowest openings for a Pixar movie in recent memory at $29.6M (though not as low as the first Toy Story, which did $29.1M), will see a second weekend ease of -39%, which isn’t that bad. That will get its 10-day take to $65M at 4,035 theaters, which is $5M more than the pandemic disaster Onward.
Meanwhile, there’s no such thing as superhero fatigue with Across the Spider-Verse easing 33% in its fourth weekend, swinging its running total by EOD Sunday to $315.8M at 3,785 theaters. By Sunday, Across the Spider-Verse will be pacing 14% ahead of Tom Holland’s Spider-Man: Homecoming (which finaled at $334.2M) and 5% behind Spider-Man: Far From Home (which finaled at $390.5M stateside). Wow, wow, wow.
Meanwhile, Warner Bros/DC’s The Flash is looking at a second Friday of $4.3M and second weekend of $14M, right now down a massive 75%. Should that hold, it will be worse than the 66% second-weekend drop weathered by Warner Bros/DC’s Green Lantern back in 2011. The running total for Flash by Sunday will be around $86.3M at 4,256 theaters.
Flash could lose third to Sony’s new R-rated Jennifer Lawrence comedy No Hard Feelings which has a shot at $14M-$15M after a $5.3M Friday at 3,208 theaters.
Fifth place goes to Paramount’s Transformers: Rise of the Beasts with a third Friday of $3M, a three-day of $10.6M, -49%, and a running total of $121.9M. Yes, the seventh robots-in-disguise film will definitely beat out the domestic gross of the last two Transformers movies: Last Knight at $130.1M and Bumblebee at $127.1M.
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Spider-verse was incredible, I’m hoping its legs are as long as they are numerous (spider-pun)
Elemental showing some nice recovery despite its dismal start. If it was December I would have had hope, but competition is simply too fierce. Hard to see how Pixar moves forward from this though.
Highlighted some interesting tidbits there from the article.
Did some Google Spreadsheeting, and if Flash followed the second weekend of Black Adam, it would make about $22 million. It’s looking more like $14 million in actuality. So even if it held the same drops from this upcoming Monday onward (it very likely won’t), that would put Flash’s domestic total final at about $125 million. With similar international split to Black Adam (and it’s current split), that would put the worldwide total around $295m. I highly doubt this, but just thought it’d be some fun math to try out.
The only plus side it has is being the only live action superhero movie until Blue Beetle I suppose? But not sure that even matters for much with Spider-Verse eating it’s lunch.
