After the bubble pops how much would our lives be impacted?

A bunch of pensions will lose a lot of money. The billionaires will know when it’s the right time to short it, and so they’ll get wealthier.

Would AI vanish or still be there?

Higher end models like Mythos will still exist but be too expensive for most people to use. Lower end models will still exist. People will start developing actual tools focused on specific tasks using LLM algorithms instead of AGI. Companies will be able to buy LLM appliances they can put into their server rooms that will help with data analysis which doesn’t require sharing data which will be more useful for use with information they want to keep private.

Eventually people will have PCs, then laptops, then phones with chips optimized for LLM algorithms which don’t require sharing private information with a data center. It won’t be AGI, but it will be able to automate things on the computer and help with stuff like helping with grammar. People will be able to say something “computer, bring up the financial report from last week” and it’ll be able to do that. But it’s not going to be an AGI thing, just be able to find the correct program, files, etc. based on some simple cues.

How exactly do you think the bubble will pop? Will AI companies simply run out of money? Or will it be because of the environmental effects?

Similar to how the dot com bubble popped. Some chatter from billionaires about getting out results in them all shorting it at the same time, the share values collapse, but they make a bunch of money.

Will AI companies simply run out of money?

Yes, when they’ve gotten the last investment dollar, the billionaires will know it’s peaked which will result in a big short.

Or will it be because of the environmental effects?

They don’t care about environmental effects LOL.

When do you think the “pop” will take place?

You need to be invited to whatever is the present day equivalent of Epstein Island to know that.

After the bubble pops, in future there will be companies/people who will try the AI thing again? What will that be like?

Yup. We didn’t stop using the internet after the dot com bubble burst. It’s just the financials of it wasn’t insane anymore. LLMs can’t do everything, but it’s an algorithm that’s useful in some scenarios. It will still be useful in those scenarios, but people will stop being weirdos thinking that it’ll be able to do everything. It’s an algorithm, there’s a cost for the hardware and power to run it, in many cases it won’t work at all, in many cases it’ll work but be cost prohibitive, and then in a few cases it will be actually useful and cost effective. We’ll move to using it for only the latter case.

Over time, it will get better and be used for more things, some of the things they’re promising now may become a reality in a few decades. Kinda like the ridiculous idea to sell dog food on the internet during the dot com bubble. It was ridiculous then, but eventually the logistics caught up and more than a decade after the dot com bubble you could indeed buy dog food on the internet. I imagine it will be like that with AI. Eventually some (though not all) of the things they say you’ll be able to do in six months may actually happen… 15 years from now. But it will probably be enshittified and suck more than you imagined it would be.

Eh… I wouldn’t be surprised if they did exactly this in the 60s, just with more LSD involved in the experiment.

Pretty sure OP has six fingers on his right hand.

Rideau Whiskey may not say it’s Bourbon on the bottle, but there’s bourbon in the bottle. Because of some dumb laws you can’t call it bourbon unless it’s made a certain region in the US, sort of like champagne. So we actually do have bourbon, even if it’s not called that.

They’ve already used Diaper Brown for this fountain: https://www.reutersconnect.com/item/restored-cascading-fountain-in-meridian-hill-park-is-seen-with-brown-water-in-washington-dc/dGFnOnJldXRlcnMuY29tLDIwMjY6bmV3c21sX1JDMlA5TUEzRU1BQQ

0-27 ships!

Still a part of a shithole country. If they want me to buy their stuff they should secede.

Conservatives got 33.74% of the vote last election. Now they’re in the awkward spot of trying to move away from being Maple-MAGA to being pro-Canada and it’s not going well for them.

The one that has less trash in his head, obviously.

Don’t think it’s just an Outlook thing, same thing happened to me in the file explorer. Weird thing is I opened another explorer window and that worked fine, while at the same time the other window was still unresponsive.

Just windows 11 failing at windows sometimes. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

They already had a uranium enriched to 60% according to the IAEA. https://www.iaea.org/newscenter/pressreleases/update-on-developments-in-iran

Sure starting from nothing to enriching uranium to the level needed to build a nuclear weapon would take a long time. But a country that has a uranium enrichment program that has already enriched uranium to 60%?

Also, random people holding kill trump banners isn’t the same as the Iranian government making a feasible plan to assassinate the president.

The IRGC controls information in Iran. Large banners that say “We will kill Trump” wouldn’t be put up if the IRGC didn’t approve. Also they’ve wanted kill Trump since he assassinated Soleimani. Killing the Ayatollah probably didn’t change that.

I’m not saying Trump or Netanyahu are good, or that Iran doesn’t have a reason to want to kill them. But let’s not pretend the IRGC are innocent little lambs that would never ever do anything wrong. Trump, Netanyahu, the Ayatollah, the IRGC are all a bunch of shitbags.

It was months away he was warning about, and that was Iran’s strategy with uranium enrichment. Develop what was needed so that at any time they could give the order to build a nuke and within six month have a nuke.

It’s like partially building a house and then pausing on the project when you’re a few months away from completing it. You will always be a few months away from completing construction of the house until you make the decision to continue working on it.

Netanyahu sucks, Trump sucks, but the IRGC also sucks, and they had a uranium enrichment program while the uranium the imported from Russia was already enriched to the level needed for their one civilian nuclear power plant.

There’s politics and then there’s science. No civilian nuclear reactor needs enrichment about 5% and Iran has uranium enriched to 60%. Not enough to build a nuclear weapon (but definitely enough to build a dirty bomb) but also way more than needed for civilian uses. They’ve been at 60% for a decade, they could enrich it further and build a nuclear weapons in less a year if they chose to do that. So yes, they’ve been months away from building a nuke for about a decade. It’s just science is difficult to explain, Netanyahu and Trump suck at explaining things (which is their job), and nobody wants to to listen to them because they suck, and people struggle to understand science even in the best of times.

Politics is more important in people’s minds than science. W. Bush lied about Saddam’s nuclear program, so there’s a boy who cried wolf situation. Remember, at the end of the story there actually was a wolf, that wolf ate the boy and ate the sheep and the village was fucked.

But then you need to change the working hours for their co-workers who depend on them. Then some of the business partners of the companies that have a large number of employees that changed their working hours.

Eventually we get right back to where we started. The reason we change the clocks is because we decided that as a society, parts of the world that have a significant angle to the sun (which have a limited amount of daylight in the winter, and an excess amount of daylight in the summer) so we came up with a system to deal with that fact in a fairly organized way. There won’t be a good solution to this, but simply changing the clocks twice a year is probably the least worst of all options.

Hmmm… it seems there might be something off about this system of “nobility”.

Yeah timezones are annoying… but just don’t schedule anything to happen between 1am and 3am on Sundays and forget about it.

DNS is also pretty meh to me actually.

SSL? Holy shit… why the hell are they going to be requiring certs to change every fucking month? WTF is wrong with these people? Bad enough I gotta find a way for business partners to verify their connections still work when we discontinue TLS 1.0 and 1.1 because most of them are probably still using fucking .Net 4.x which requires a line of code to enable newer TLS versions (fucking Microsoft!) but in a couple of years we’re going to have to find a way to automate certificate updates every fucking month because everyone’s passing security responsibilities to me including the goddamn trusted CAs.

Yeah, SSL is a trigger word for me.

People get cranky when the time is moved forward in the spring. So they write to the politicians around that time. The politicians start talking about doing away with it then. There’s no thought towards “ok we’ll move the clacks back in the fall (nobody’s cranky about that one) and then not change it again.” It’s just “do away with changing the clocks immediately!”

You’d also have to change working hours for parents so they can get their kids ready for school.

This is just a half measure. They need to fix the tilt of the Earth for a real solution to this problem.

He’s passed on! This Senator is no more! He has ceased to be! He’s expired and gone to meet his maker! He’s a stiff! Bereft of life, he rests in peace! His metabolic processes are now history! He’s kicked the bucket. He’s shuffled off his mortal coil, run down the curtain and joined the bleeding choir invisible.

THIS IS AN EX-SENATOR!

Iran’s uranium enrichment program (the only purpose of which is to make weapons-grade uaranium) is well documented by the IAEA.

There were plenty of “Kill Trump” banners at the Ayatollah’s funeral. And it’s obvious they’ve wanted to kill Trump since Trump ordered the assassination of Soleimani.

Yes, Trump is a demented racist. But that doesn’t mean you have to deny reality on everything to do with things you don’t like.