• @Maggoty
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    63 months ago

    Because we know from 2016 and 2020 that Trump’s craziness isn’t an impediment to him getting votes. We’re also in a bubble here on Lemmy. The CNN flash poll they conduct before/after the debate had a 12 point swing towards Trump.

    • Flying Squid
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      3 months ago

      Was that 12 points swinging towards Trump as the debate winner or was that people changing their vote? Because those are very different things. I would be surprised if it were the latter.

      • @Maggoty
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        33 months ago

        The debate winner. And yeah it’s different but also telling when Biden has won easily every other time.

        • Flying Squid
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          33 months ago

          I really don’t think that it’s telling at all. I have a very difficult time believing someone would suddenly consider a dictator over the possibility of Kamala Harris stepping in like they hadn’t already.

          • @Maggoty
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            33 months ago

            It’s worth remembering that our elections are generally very close. It doesn’t take a ton of people in a battle state to change their minds.

            • Flying Squid
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              53 months ago

              Sure, but there’s also a lot of time between now an November.

              • @Maggoty
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                53 months ago

                That is also true. Another breakpoint coming up is Trump’s sentencing. Apparently focus groups report they’re less likely to vote for him if he gets a sentence including a jail or prison term.

                • Flying Squid
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                  33 months ago

                  There’s also that documentary which may or may not come out about Trump being racist during The Apprentice. We’ll see if that has an effect.