I mean dude wrote a book about exponential progress (it works well in computers IMO) and tried to predict a lot of stuff. I read that lots of his predictions was “sort of” correct too?
Edit: thanks for nothing I guess. Downvotes and scorn lol.
It hasn’t worked ‘well’ for computers since like the pentium, what are you talking about?
The premise was pretty dumb too, as in, if you notice that a (very reductive) technological metric has been rising sort of exponentially, you should probably assume something along the lines of we’re probably still at the low hanging fruit stage of R&D, it’ll stabilize as it matures, instead of proudly proclaiming that surely it’ll approach infinity and break reality.
There’s nothing smart or insightful about seeing a line in a graph trending upwards and assuming it’s gonna keep doing that no matter what. Not to mention that type of decontextualized wishful thinking is emblematic of the TREACLES mindset mentioned in the community’s blurb that you should check out.
So yeah, he thought up the Singularity which is little more than a metaphysical excuse to ignore regulations and negative externalities because with tech rupture around the corner any catastrophic mess we make getting there won’t matter. See also: the whole current AI debacle.
Fuck those assholes. I think Ray is blinded by his own success of pointing at graphs, number go up, but there was no reason to be mean to you. There’s an underbelly of smelly smugglings in Lemmy.
I read his books when they came out and they are not without incorrect stuff or weird takes IMO (like that big log/log diagram in singularity is near that IMO is completely worthless), but there are also interesting things to discuss I think amd some are indeniable. But here in this thread it’s just some bizarre anger everywhere. I mean I wonder what happened in those angry peoples lives to be so upset lol.
Can someone explain why this level of hate?
I mean dude wrote a book about exponential progress (it works well in computers IMO) and tried to predict a lot of stuff. I read that lots of his predictions was “sort of” correct too?
Edit: thanks for nothing I guess. Downvotes and scorn lol.
Edit2: omg is reddit incels leaking or what?
It hasn’t worked ‘well’ for computers since like the pentium, what are you talking about?
The premise was pretty dumb too, as in, if you notice that a (very reductive) technological metric has been rising sort of exponentially, you should probably assume something along the lines of we’re probably still at the low hanging fruit stage of R&D, it’ll stabilize as it matures, instead of proudly proclaiming that surely it’ll approach infinity and break reality.
There’s nothing smart or insightful about seeing a line in a graph trending upwards and assuming it’s gonna keep doing that no matter what. Not to mention that type of decontextualized wishful thinking is emblematic of the TREACLES mindset mentioned in the community’s blurb that you should check out.
So yeah, he thought up the Singularity which is little more than a metaphysical excuse to ignore regulations and negative externalities because with tech rupture around the corner any catastrophic mess we make getting there won’t matter. See also: the whole current AI debacle.
Your comment is by far the nicest, still feels like from a 13 yo lol.
We do double processing power on the dollar every 18-24 months still, and I do recommend you upgrade your pentium, you’ll be blown away.
Such anger, such hate.
First, learn the difference between scorn or disdain and hate.
Second, read the comments in the thread already made about those “‘sort of’ correct” predictions.
ah, you beat me to it
Yes Scorn is a nightmarish universe of odd forms and somber tapestry.
ah yeah, 3 downvotes (and one of them’s mine) and zero replies of scorn directed towards you (well, one now)
how about you take your bullshit elsewhere
Re his book, a glance at wikipedia (helpfully linked to the relevant section, im not one of those LMGTFY link twats) might help.
you could just have read downthread for actual details before posting, y’know. that waaaah edit isn’t helping
Fuck those assholes. I think Ray is blinded by his own success of pointing at graphs, number go up, but there was no reason to be mean to you. There’s an underbelly of smelly smugglings in Lemmy.
Welcome! Please leave.
Ha ha Love it
and there’s no reason for you to try excuse their laziness with airdropped feelings of cozy of your own!
wild, full circle!
Fair point
Thanks!
I read his books when they came out and they are not without incorrect stuff or weird takes IMO (like that big log/log diagram in singularity is near that IMO is completely worthless), but there are also interesting things to discuss I think amd some are indeniable. But here in this thread it’s just some bizarre anger everywhere. I mean I wonder what happened in those angry peoples lives to be so upset lol.