TLDR: you are apparently unaware that popular consumer smartphones like the Blackberry go back to 2002 and personal PCs like the Palm Pilot to the 90s.
Do you have a reading or memory problem? I referenced Palm with cell data as the reason it’s not a prediction in my first replies. Predicting a product that’s already for sale isn’t a prediction.
It’s also the specific predictions like of no mechanical interface that Kurzweil had for those devices which was wrong until the iPhone became popular and dropped the physical buttons. Which I carefully wrote but you didn’t read.
Finally, as I already said in my conclusion, even if you give Kurzweil a handicap of of 5 yrars, that only raises his percentage to 25%,.
So we’re down to, what? 85% correct on the first chubby baker’s dozen (that’s 14. Cause he’s chubby)?
I’m fine with 85% correct predictions, that seems correct and is way more concrete teeth the point I was making before, that he was right about “a lot” of stuff.
85 percent from your own list is way more substantive.
Do you have a reading or memory problem? I referenced Palm with cell data as the reason it’s not a prediction in my first replies. Predicting a product that’s already for sale isn’t a prediction.
It’s also the specific predictions like of no mechanical interface that Kurzweil had for those devices which was wrong until the iPhone became popular and dropped the physical buttons. Which I carefully wrote but you didn’t read.
Finally, as I already said in my conclusion, even if you give Kurzweil a handicap of of 5 yrars, that only raises his percentage to 25%,.
Read what I wrote.
Hey, of your want those happy points, take em.
So we’re down to, what? 85% correct on the first chubby baker’s dozen (that’s 14. Cause he’s chubby)?
I’m fine with 85% correct predictions, that seems correct and is way more concrete teeth the point I was making before, that he was right about “a lot” of stuff.
85 percent from your own list is way more substantive.