• the post of tom joad
    link
    fedilink
    5
    edit-2
    3 months ago

    Alright, now here’s where i am ready to be wrong… How is an increasing suicide rate from 30 per 100k to 35 per 100k statistically significant? Am i even worse at math than i thought?

    • Hegar
      link
      fedilink
      9
      edit-2
      3 months ago

      It’s the same reason that an increase from a 0.0001% chance of something happening to a 0.0002% chance is a 100% increased chance of the thing happening.

      More relevantly, 0.0003477% is ~ 15% bigger a number than 0.0003000%. The overall numbers are still low, but the increase is significant.

      • the post of tom joad
        link
        fedilink
        8
        edit-2
        3 months ago

        Well then i guess i am wrong, cuz i have to concede 15% is a significant difference. Thanks for explaining that. It still feels like artificial inflation of stats to my mind, but that’s just like, my opinion, man

        • paraphrand
          link
          English
          23 months ago

          Stats can be very unintuitive. You’re not alone.

          • @rekorse
            link
            33 months ago

            I remember reading over some logic - statistics “puzzles”, where the logic is sound if you follow step by step on paper, but for some reason your mind just has trouble grasping the concept which leads to confusion.