@vegeta to politics • 1 month agoHarris tops Trump for first time in Nate Silver’s election forecastthehill.commessage-square49arrow-up1300arrow-down111
arrow-up1289arrow-down1external-linkHarris tops Trump for first time in Nate Silver’s election forecastthehill.com@vegeta to politics • 1 month agomessage-square49
minus-square@GaMEChldlink18•1 month agoI think Nate made a good point about people not understanding polls. 70% chance to win means Hillary would have won 70/100 elections, not win by 70-30. But many read 70% as some kind of guarantee.
I think Nate made a good point about people not understanding polls. 70% chance to win means Hillary would have won 70/100 elections, not win by 70-30. But many read 70% as some kind of guarantee.