Three caution points for Democrats…
- Trump wins if the difference between the polls at this point & the result matches what we saw in 2016 or 2020.
- Trump’s more popular now than at this pt in 2016 or 2020.
- Dems don’t say they’re more likely to vote now than in May
Some folks are motivated by good news and momentum
Some folks are motivated by fear and uncertainty
Just covering all the bases.