• @TropicalDingdong
    link
    13 days ago

    The markets have pretty tightly correlated with polling based models.

    • @[email protected]OPM
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      fedilink
      22 days ago

      They have been historically. I think they may not going forward though. Mostly because now that it’s “a thing” you’re going to have a lot of people trying to screw around with it that don’t mind losing money, which makes betting markets irrational