Live Presidential Forecast
www.nytimes.com
Follow our real-time estimates to see who’s ahead in the race between Kamala Harris and Donald J. Trump.

The New York Times predicts a Trump victory. The say the probability of a Trump victory is 90%.

Edit: Probability has dropped to 89% now, if that makes you feel better.

Edit: Now it’s 93%.

  • Flying Squid
    13•15 days ago

    What do you think happened to the Jews that stayed behind to fight the Nazis? I can tell you. It’s why most of my family tree got trimmed. And my family wasn’t the Nazis in this equation.

    “The UK doesn’t have a Project 2025 yet, so risk her being put in a camp before you get imprisoned for resistance” isn’t the selling point you think it is.

    • @Fredselfish
      -2•15 days ago

      Sorry what happened to your family, and I wish I can promise it won’t happen again. But its happening and this time its happening to America. Same one who has largest military in the world. So no can save us this time but ourselves.

      How is running to country that outlaws you owning a fire arm better then one that allows you to. For now anyway. We can fight and win. We have one shot. Not over yet almost. We should organize the largest strike in history. Shut it all down. Refuse to go to work all of us. Until are demands are met.

      If we do that Now while Biden still in charge maybe we can force them to put guardrail up to protect us from the worse of what Trump wants to do.

      One stop him from dismantling our government in turn for loyalties.

        • @Fredselfish
          -1•15 days ago

          My family won’t be march into no fucking camp. One were white we can hide who we are for a little while. And rather die fighting then run. You run they catch you eventually you can’t run away from fascism.

          • Flying Squid
            7•15 days ago

            One were white we can hide who we are for a little while.

            Congratulations on your privilege. According to future Trump cabinet member Elon Musk, we aren’t white.

            But your opposition to my choosing to live in a country where I’m a legal citizen is noted.