Guardian analysis suggests Harris underperformed compared with 2020 – but in the states that mattered most it was Trump’s gains that won him the White House

Summary

The recent U.S. election saw a significant Democratic underperformance, with Kamala Harris drawing 1.4 million fewer votes than Joe Biden in 2020, while Donald Trump gained 1.1 million additional votes.

Nationally, Democrats lost more votes than Republicans gained, but in key swing states like Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania, Trump’s gains outpaced Harris’s losses, securing his victory.

In many counties, Democratic votes dropped sharply even where Republican gains were modest.

Higher turnout in swing states, driven by Trump supporters, was a crucial factor in his win.

  • @rottingleaf
    1•4 days ago

    And it doesn’t matter they don’t actually do that, most voters are low info.

    But, apparently, they will do that more than Dems. But just a bit.

    There were definitely articles where it was clearly he was picking up iconically reliable blue votes - Black and Latinos specifically. I think it’s more just that people are hurting. The economy sucks for them and has for the past 12+ years.

    People also don’t like educated well-off white liberals graciously descending to ask for their lowly votes, to bring these poor bastards to some democratic heaven, but that’s not certain. A lot of those people are, ahem, still kinda Christian and still kinda conservative, like second generation immigrants from Catholic Latin American countries. In any case this kind of condescending attitude tends to be unpopular. Especially when those promises haven’t been fulfilled in the past.