Since this entire original post is about the overall popular vote, when I said “did better” I meant in regard to number of votes in those states. But Trump did even better. My point is that the “missing Dem votes” illustrated from the OP were almost all from states other than the key swing states, and didn’t ultimately matter due to the electoral college. In the key swing states, Harris got nearly as many or in some cases even more than Biden in 2020. Trump just got even more.
Michigan is the sole swing state in which Harris would have defeated Trump if she had gotten Biden’s turnout in 2020. In all other key swing states, even with Biden’s 2020 turnout, Harris would have lost to Trump’s 2024 turnout. She still would have lost the electoral college.
Since this entire original post is about the overall popular vote, when I said “did better” I meant in regard to number of votes in those states. But Trump did even better. My point is that the “missing Dem votes” illustrated from the OP were almost all from states other than the key swing states, and didn’t ultimately matter due to the electoral college. In the key swing states, Harris got nearly as many or in some cases even more than Biden in 2020. Trump just got even more.
Michigan is the sole swing state in which Harris would have defeated Trump if she had gotten Biden’s turnout in 2020. In all other key swing states, even with Biden’s 2020 turnout, Harris would have lost to Trump’s 2024 turnout. She still would have lost the electoral college.
Wisconsin
Biden 2020: 1.63 million
Harris 2024: 1.667 million
Trump 2024: 1.697 million
Michigan
Biden 2020: 2.804 million
Harris 2024: 2.72 million
Trump 2024: 2.802 million
Georgia
Biden 2020: 2.473 million
Harris 2024: 2.543 million
Trump 2024: 2.66 million
Pennsylvania
Biden 2020: 3.459 million
Harris 2024: 3.352 million
Trump 2024: 3.491 million
Thanks for the break-down.