Summary
Russian businesses are facing severe financial stress as the Central Bank of Russia’s interest rate hits 21%, with further hikes expected.
High borrowing costs, especially for companies with floating-rate loans, have pushed many towards a debt crisis, with interest payments consuming up to 75% of earnings.
Rising corporate bankruptcies, late payments, and stalled investments signal deepening economic distress. Key industries, including retail, real estate, and manufacturing, are especially vulnerable.
The situation is expected to worsen as the economy cools and interest rates remain high, potentially triggering a financial crisis.
“Politics in Russia is like watching two dogs fight under a rug. You can hear and see that something is going on, but aren’t able to tell the victor until the bones are revealed.”