Yes, they are. Recent polls have shown a strong swing towards the Liberals. They’re not in the lead yet, but the current trend is that direction, and that’s without them even having a selected leader yet. Polls asking about hypothetical elections where Carney is the leader actually put them in a dead heat with the Conservatives (and unlike the US, in Canada its the Liberals who have the vote distribution advantage, so ties go their way more often than not).
What makes you think Trump is changing the outcome? Are polls shifting?
Yes, they are. Recent polls have shown a strong swing towards the Liberals. They’re not in the lead yet, but the current trend is that direction, and that’s without them even having a selected leader yet. Polls asking about hypothetical elections where Carney is the leader actually put them in a dead heat with the Conservatives (and unlike the US, in Canada its the Liberals who have the vote distribution advantage, so ties go their way more often than not).
one shows a combined shift of about 13 percent. Polls are polls, they’re a dime a dozen. but the effect is immediately noticeable.