Mainstream conservatives led by Friedrich Merz have won Germany's 2025 election. Here's a look in charts at the wins and losses, seats in parliament, possible coalition outcomes and voter demographics.
Another interesting figure is, how voters have transferred to AFD:
1.8M come from previously non-voters
1M from CDU/CSU (Christian conservatives)
890k from FDP (Liberal capitalistes)
My 2-cents analysis about this, the right parties have decided to fight on AFD’s turf, focus their campaign on immigration, insecurity, reduce welfare, shifting the whole debate to the extreme right, in an attempt to steal the voters from AFD. But very predictively, this only help to legitimize the extreme right rhetoric et topics and unsurprisingly traditionally right voters ended up voting for extreme right this time.
Another interesting figure is, how voters have transferred to AFD:
My 2-cents analysis about this, the right parties have decided to fight on AFD’s turf, focus their campaign on immigration, insecurity, reduce welfare, shifting the whole debate to the extreme right, in an attempt to steal the voters from AFD. But very predictively, this only help to legitimize the extreme right rhetoric et topics and unsurprisingly traditionally right voters ended up voting for extreme right this time.