If you are actually directly participating in a war, then it’s nothing but destructive
“War is good for business” would apply mostly to china in this case, and a little to Africa and maybe South America depending on how involved they’re gonna end up being
Well I’m mostly thinking they’re gonna benefit depending on how ignored they end up being in any potential conflict, as a consequence of not being in that conflict. That’s mostly speculation, I don’t have anything to actually back it up beyond my meanderings
I see what you mean, benefitting through not getting involved. I can totally see that going for South America
Unfortunately, Central Africa would get deeply pulled into such conflict given its vast rare earth resources, so I doubt they could benefit.
Yeah, possibly. Either way hard to predict how such a hypothetical would end up. Maybe you’ll get stuff like china coming in and providing guarantees to Africa etc
last time I visited West Africa there was an incredible amount of Chinese investment going in. With the US abandoning soft power, I can’t see how China wouldn’t use this vacuum to take over the US’s role.
Yes, this is crucially what is often forgotten
If you are actually directly participating in a war, then it’s nothing but destructive
“War is good for business” would apply mostly to china in this case, and a little to Africa and maybe South America depending on how involved they’re gonna end up being
Yup, the country whose infrastructure is getting obliterated does not profit from war.
Care to elaborate on the South America/Africa part?
Well I’m mostly thinking they’re gonna benefit depending on how ignored they end up being in any potential conflict, as a consequence of not being in that conflict. That’s mostly speculation, I don’t have anything to actually back it up beyond my meanderings
I see what you mean, benefitting through not getting involved. I can totally see that going for South America Unfortunately, Central Africa would get deeply pulled into such conflict given its vast rare earth resources, so I doubt they could benefit.
Yeah, possibly. Either way hard to predict how such a hypothetical would end up. Maybe you’ll get stuff like china coming in and providing guarantees to Africa etc
Either way, probably a mess
last time I visited West Africa there was an incredible amount of Chinese investment going in. With the US abandoning soft power, I can’t see how China wouldn’t use this vacuum to take over the US’s role.