Breathless predictions about nuclear power put today’s AI “revolution” into perspective.
  • @[email protected]OPM
    4•1 year ago
    • Nuclear power began with an experiment in 1945 but was not widely adopted.
    • Nuclear power is safer and more efficient than fossil fuels, but has safety and regulatory issues.
    • The nuclear revolution didn’t happen because of wrong predictions and political obstacles.
    • Artificial intelligence is generating hype, but its impact on the real world may be limited.
    • Futurism and the randomness of history make it difficult to predict the future, including the development of AI.
    • The human ego and sensationalism may prevent us from seeing the real consequences of AI.
    • @[email protected]
      1•1 year ago

      I had a junior software developer write a social media app for Android in three minutes using AutoGPT.

      “Seeing the real consequences of AI” is a misnomer, because unlike other predictions, machine language models, neural networks, transformers and other types of software advancements are TOOLS which SAVE ON LABOR.

      Humanity is tremendously efficient at implementing new tools and methods which save on labor or costs, and is how we ended up in this Post-Industrial mess that we’re in.

      They might be bad at predicting the future, but they’re sure good at actually doing it.