Assuming neither Redbull driver finishes, who is the most likely driver to win a race? Alonso seems like the obvious choice, but with Mercedes looking strong, who knows?
What would happen if Stroll recovers and wins before Alonso? What sort of meltdown are we looking at?
It depends on what type of track the red bulls dnf. Front limited circuits favour Mercedes like we saw in Spain last time out. On rear limited tracks, Aston had the advantage, at least before the Merc upgrades.