• Jhex
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    3 days ago

    what do you mean? there is a full gov agency that does nothing but check those patterns… I’m willing to bet the numbers probably hold in proportion when equalized to normal application rates

    not saying IRCC does a good job or not but if there is something they do, is analyze patterns and apply those patterns like a racist grandpa stereotyping from them

    • kbal@fedia.io
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      3 days ago

      You’re suggesting that it’s obvious why world cup-related travel would result in a larger fraction of visa applications denied than other travel? It’s not to me.

      • Jhex
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        3 days ago

        I am not saying it’s obvious, I am refuting the suggestion it’s arbitrary and not understood… you not knowing the reason for something does not imply the reason is unknown to all

        The vast majority of travel visas are denied because Canada can’t verify something about security or ties to the applicants’ origin country… “cup-related” travel has zero mitigating power over those, if anything it makes things worst

        • kbal@fedia.io
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          3 days ago

          Such a suggestion did not come from me. The investigation might well be as simple as finding the right person to call at the relevant bureau.

      • kahnclusions@lemmy.ca
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        3 days ago

        You’re suggesting that it’s obvious why world cup-related travel would result in a larger fraction of visa applications denied than other travel? It’s not to me.

        Compared with normal times, the world cup sees a much bigger proportion of people applying for tourist TRVs compared to work and study permits, and perhaps these have a higher rejection rate, which leads to a higher rejection rate overall. There is also the fact that the demographics of who is applying for world cup visitor visas may be a higher risk population than those who usually apply. In terms of the disparity between different countries themselves, this is quite normal that countries with higher risk of visa overstays, illegal work, etc, will have higher rejection rates.

        Refusing visas and determining admissibility is an act of sovereignty, I don’t really see anything here worthy of an investigation.

        • kbal@fedia.io
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          3 days ago

          If noticing (and reporting on) an odd statistic does not make you want to investigate to find out the cause of it, you are perhaps not cut out for a career as a journalist.

          • kahnclusions@lemmy.ca
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            2 days ago

            …sorry did you think I was a journalist?

            That statistic isn’t odd at all, it’s what I would expect. I think it’s only newsworthy because it might be surprising to some people.

            • kbal@fedia.io
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              2 days ago

              It’s kinda weird that you came back to continue arguing against the human tendency towards curiosity.