How Popular Does Biden Need to Be to Beat Trump? Not Very.

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How Popular Does Biden Need to Be to Beat Trump? Not Very.

nymag.com

spaceghoti to

politics English • 1 year ago

186

Presiding over an unhappy nation makes reelection hard for any president. But running against Trump makes it easier for Biden.

Given the current state of partisan polarization, it’s unlikely Biden can get majority job approval next year even with the most fortunate set of circumstances. But the good news for him is that he probably doesn’t have to. Job-approval ratings are crucial indicators in a normal presidential reelection cycle that is basically a referendum on the incumbent’s record. Assuming Trump is the Republican nominee, 2024 will not be a normal reelection cycle for three reasons.

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4•1 year ago
I’m old and cynical, but my opinion is that Trump will never go to prison. That is a pipe dream.

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