NEW YORK (AP) — Most business economists think the U.S. economy could avoid a recession next year, even if the job market ends up weakening under the weight of high interest rates, according to a survey released Monday.

Only 24% of economists surveyed by the National Association for Business Economics said they see a recession in 2024 as more likely than not. The 38 surveyed economists come from such organizations as Morgan Stanley, the University of Arkansas and Nationwide.

Such predictions imply the belief that the Federal Reserve can pull off the delicate balancing act of slowing the economy just enough through high interest rates to get inflation under control, without snuffing out its growth completely.

High rates work to slow inflation by making borrowing more expensive and hurting prices for stocks and other investments. The combination typically slows spending and starves inflation of its fuel. So far, the job market has remained remarkably solid despite high interest rates, and the unemployment rate sat at a low 3.9% in October.

    • Flying Squid
      link
      151 year ago

      Yeah, that crafty Biden pulled the inflation lever in the Oval Office. It’s right next to the gas prices lever.

        • Flying Squid
          link
          81 year ago

          They also do not control inflation so that it goes down in election years. The economy is nowhere near that simple.

          • @[email protected]
            link
            fedilink
            English
            61 year ago

            Not to mention that the majority party in the house has done nothing but fight with each other and try to impeach Biden.

            • Flying Squid
              link
              61 year ago

              Okay? What’s your point? Biden and congress still don’t control inflation.