• @assassin_aragorn
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    310 months ago

    Economics is the one issue where I will actively not trust the experts. When so many of them were saying we were going to have a recession, I was starting to get suspicious. And it turned out, we didn’t have one, even though so many were so sure of it.

    Generally speaking, the experts seem to fall into groupthink and miss the actual trends. I’ve seen forecasters at some of the biggest oil and gas companies make the stupidest calls ever. They apparently forgot that in a cyclical business, we were due for a bust after a boom. It caught them by total surprise.