At the end of every year, we give our AGI, ASI, and Singularity predictions.
We are now halfway through the year, and I think we should jump the gun a little bit and give our predictions.
Back on December 30, 2022, I said AGI 2030, ASI 2040, Singularity 2050. This is most probably going to age like milk.
Today, on July 1, 2023, I will say AGI 2028, ASI 2035, Singularity 2036.
What are your AGI, ASI, and Singularity predictions? Also, let us know if your timelines have shrunk in the last 6 months.
What’s the definition of singularity you are using here?
He means the name of the sub because reddit singularity sub does annual predicting arrival of AGI and ASI. But even then we need a solid definition of AGI and ASI before making those predictions makes any sense.
And technological singularity means this: “The technological singularity—or simply the singularity[1]—is a hypothetical future point in time at which technological growth becomes uncontrollable and irreversible, resulting in unforeseeable changes to human civilization.[2][3] According to the most popular version of the singularity hypothesis, I. J. Good’s intelligence explosion model, an upgradable intelligent agent will eventually enter a “runaway reaction” of self-improvement cycles, each new and more intelligent generation appearing more and more rapidly, causing an “explosion” in intelligence and resulting in a powerful superintelligence that qualitatively far surpasses all human intelligence.[4]”