Yes, I see that the argument depends on the context.
Honestly, I expect some form of mass unemployment in the future coming along with mass automation.
That doesn’t mean that every job will get automated, but a large fraction (especially office jobs) will.
Also, please consider that it isn’t relevant “how many jobs there are”. It is relevant how well these jobs are paying. It would be very significant if AI took all of the well-paying “white collar” jobs, while humans are stuck with a lot of, but poorly paying, blue collar jobs and pink collar jobs.
EDIT: to whom it might concern, I believe that birth rate has to go down to keep the wages up. Because the labor market is a market, and less supply (fewer workers) = higher pay.
Or we could ditch the idea that everyone needs to work and allow that technology will allow for lives of leisure. You’re not going to reduce the birth rate because people like fucking, and you’re not going to remove this technology, so other solutions need to be found. We have them, we know that they are (UBI, hint hint), we just need politicians who are willing to implement them and that is where we are failing right now
However, I consider myself a little bit more realistic. Politics (especially in the US) will not allow for any form of socialism, be it UBI or something else, at least not in the near future. I believe that making fewer babies (contraception) is a strong handle that the people hold. Sure, people like fucking, but doesn’t determine baby count.
Yes, I see that the argument depends on the context.
Honestly, I expect some form of mass unemployment in the future coming along with mass automation.
That doesn’t mean that every job will get automated, but a large fraction (especially office jobs) will.
Also, please consider that it isn’t relevant “how many jobs there are”. It is relevant how well these jobs are paying. It would be very significant if AI took all of the well-paying “white collar” jobs, while humans are stuck with a lot of, but poorly paying, blue collar jobs and pink collar jobs.
EDIT: to whom it might concern, I believe that birth rate has to go down to keep the wages up. Because the labor market is a market, and less supply (fewer workers) = higher pay.
Or we could ditch the idea that everyone needs to work and allow that technology will allow for lives of leisure. You’re not going to reduce the birth rate because people like fucking, and you’re not going to remove this technology, so other solutions need to be found. We have them, we know that they are (UBI, hint hint), we just need politicians who are willing to implement them and that is where we are failing right now
Yes, I agree. That would be the best case.
However, I consider myself a little bit more realistic. Politics (especially in the US) will not allow for any form of socialism, be it UBI or something else, at least not in the near future. I believe that making fewer babies (contraception) is a strong handle that the people hold. Sure, people like fucking, but doesn’t determine baby count.