copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deM to forecasting@discuss.tchncs.deEnglish · 1 year agoHow Inevitable is Biden’s Nomination, According to Manifold Superforecasters?news.manifold.marketsexternal-linkmessage-square3fedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down14
arrow-up1-2arrow-down1external-linkHow Inevitable is Biden’s Nomination, According to Manifold Superforecasters?news.manifold.marketscopacetic@discuss.tchncs.deM to forecasting@discuss.tchncs.deEnglish · 1 year agomessage-square3fedilink
minus-squareglimselinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up3·1 year agoGonna go ahead and guess 99% without clicking the link
minus-squarecopacetic@discuss.tchncs.deOPMlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up1·1 year ago The market now gives Biden an 89% chance (up from a brief low of 86% after the Klein article)
Gonna go ahead and guess 99% without clicking the link