A recent New York Times and Sienna College poll found that in six key swing states 71% of black voters would back Mr Biden in 2024, a steep drop from the 92% nationally that helped him win the White House at the last election.
I never heard that so many black people supported (and still support) Trump.
Somewhere else I see this sentence, which sounds a lot more plausible to me:
There’s little evidence that Trump is making significant inroads with Black voters, who polls show remain overwhelmingly supportive of President Joe Biden.
The entire polling industry is dead, and at this point exists solely to produce polls that get people to care what polling says. The kind of person who bothers to respond to a poll is no longer related to the general sentiment of voters at all. Trump has consistently underperformed by around 10% compared to what polling has said, and it this point it appears to be because pollsters really just want to sell you on keeping your eyes on polling data, it’s actually totally gonna be closer than you’d think!!!
2016 killed polling, everyone who bothers to respond lies, and most people just don’t respond. There is so little to be gained from looking at polling data that you might as well ignore it.
I get calls pretty often asking my opinion and never offer
because I am busy
Because I don’t know what they will do with that information.
The first thing to remember is that everyone responding AGREED to take take 10+ minutes out of their time to be on the phone and answer a bunch of questions about politics to a complete stranger.
I never heard that so many black people supported (and still support) Trump.
Somewhere else I see this sentence, which sounds a lot more plausible to me:
Can someone unconfuse me please?
The entire polling industry is dead, and at this point exists solely to produce polls that get people to care what polling says. The kind of person who bothers to respond to a poll is no longer related to the general sentiment of voters at all. Trump has consistently underperformed by around 10% compared to what polling has said, and it this point it appears to be because pollsters really just want to sell you on keeping your eyes on polling data, it’s actually totally gonna be closer than you’d think!!!
2016 killed polling, everyone who bothers to respond lies, and most people just don’t respond. There is so little to be gained from looking at polling data that you might as well ignore it.
I get calls pretty often asking my opinion and never offer
because I am busy
Because I don’t know what they will do with that information.
The first thing to remember is that everyone responding AGREED to take take 10+ minutes out of their time to be on the phone and answer a bunch of questions about politics to a complete stranger.