Nah. It’s just extremely difficult to accurately model systems of such complexity and uncertainty. That’s why weather reports can only do up to 2 weeks max. There definitely is fuckery from politicians and the status quo oligarchy in terms of what is passed and reported on, especially by orgs like the IPCC, but this type of acceleration falls within the wide variability of existing models; just not around the mean.
That’s one of the main reasons why I think we’re fucked. Scientists and their models don’t know what they don’t know, so some significant variables could be missed (e.g. feedback loops) — variables that ultimately make our modelling unrealistically, naively, optimistic.
Nah. It’s just extremely difficult to accurately model systems of such complexity and uncertainty. That’s why weather reports can only do up to 2 weeks max. There definitely is fuckery from politicians and the status quo oligarchy in terms of what is passed and reported on, especially by orgs like the IPCC, but this type of acceleration falls within the wide variability of existing models; just not around the mean.
That’s one of the main reasons why I think we’re fucked. Scientists and their models don’t know what they don’t know, so some significant variables could be missed (e.g. feedback loops) — variables that ultimately make our modelling unrealistically, naively, optimistic.