It’s really interesting how some people wrongly claim that trans folks are more likely to commit mass shootings. The thing is, there aren’t many trans people out there, so if just one of them is involved in a shooting, it messes up the statistics. Basically, trans people aren’t going around shooting up places in any meaningful numbers, and anyone who says otherwise doesn’t understand statistical biases like insignificant number bias or sample selection bias work.
edit: Depending on how you count a mass shooting, and if you count the person in denver who (allegedly) changed their identity to avoid hate crime charges.
Much more likely? No, they’re actually less likely or just as likely, depending on how you count a mass shooting.
Of those, “the number of known suspects in mass shootings which are trans is under 10 for the last decade,” which translated to “1:880 [or 0.11%] of the 4,400 shootings” they recorded, he said.
The report examined 173 attacks in the U.S. that “that resulted in harm to three or more individuals in public locations,” Justine Whelan, press secretary for the U.S. Secret Service, told Reuters via email, and “three attackers (2%) were transgender, assigned female at birth, but were known to identify as male at the time of their attacks.”
Reuters reported on studies in mid-2022 that found about 0.5% of U.S. adults identify as transgender, and about 1.3% of 13 to 17-year-olds (here).
It’s really interesting how some people wrongly claim that trans folks are more likely to commit mass shootings. The thing is, there aren’t many trans people out there, so if just one of them is involved in a shooting, it messes up the statistics. Basically, trans people aren’t going around shooting up places in any meaningful numbers, and anyone who says otherwise doesn’t understand statistical biases like insignificant number bias or sample selection bias work.
edit: Depending on how you count a mass shooting, and if you count the person in denver who (allegedly) changed their identity to avoid hate crime charges.
Much more likely? No, they’re actually less likely or just as likely, depending on how you count a mass shooting.
https://www.reuters.com/article/factcheck-trans-nonbinary-shooter-idUSL1N363273
Either way, it’s 97% men being the perpetrators. So any man that says it’s trans people needs to look at themselves first.
Depending on how you count a mass shooting, and if you count the person in denver who (allegedly) changed their identity to avoid hate crime charges.
Trans people are statistically underrepresented among mass shooters to date.