Polling in all 27 EU member states, combined with modelling of how national parties performed in past European parliament elections, shows radical right parties are on course to finish first in nine countries including Austria, France and Poland. Projected second- or third-place finishes in another nine countries, including Germany, Spain, Portugal and Sweden, could for the first time produce a majority rightwing coalition in the parliament of Christian Democrats, conservatives and radical right MEPs.

The authors called on policymakers to examine the trends that are driving current voting patterns in Europe and to develop clear narratives that address the necessity of a global Europe in an increasingly fraught and dangerous geopolitical climate.

  • nicetriangle
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    3510 months ago

    Man splitting up the EU would be one of the most insane, shooting-your-own-dick-off geopolitical blunders in all of modern history. Just ridiculously fucking stupid.

    • @Burn_The_Right
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      10 months ago

      Just ridiculously fucking stupid.

      That’s how you can be sure it is the goal of the conservatives. It always is. Always.

      • nicetriangle
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        10 months ago

        I think a fair number of those shitlords are being paid off by certain parties that have a vested interest in the dissolution of the EU and NATO, for that matter.

        If anything the EU needs to band closer together and start doing something resembling federalization if they want to remain truly relevant going forward. The world is a fucking mess right now.

        • @Cuttlefish1111
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          10 months ago

          The Billionaires dividing and conquering. The whole world will be an unregulated capitalist shit show. Everyone on the planet will be a slave.

      • rhabarba
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        410 months ago

        German conservatives are 100% pro-EU. German communists are not.

          • rhabarba
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            -110 months ago

            Calling the AfD “conservative” seems a bit low to me ;-) It’s actually more important to me to do the right thing than to be where it’s popular.

    • FenrirIII
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      210 months ago

      The Brits would love for everyone to forget Brexit

  • rhabarba
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    1510 months ago

    There can be no logical explanation for this that has anything to do with EU policy.

    • @UnexpectedBehavior
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      310 months ago

      What EU policies do you have in mind that are bothersome to populists?

      • rhabarba
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        -210 months ago

        Potentially, all of them. Technically, EU politics are “not your country’s” politics.

        • @UnexpectedBehavior
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          510 months ago

          Spoken like a true populists. It’s not about the content of the policy but how they are made, only that they’re made like they are in every member state, usually enjoy a vast support in every country and create a benefit for the people. See USB-C rules. If the opposition is only how those policies and laws are made, the critic is not substantial. In every country sone rural voters influence the life of city people and vice versa. It’s the same with the EU, just bigger. Please tell me what people actually reject. This was not supposed to be a got ya question. If the only criticism is the order of the union then it’s not the policies fault but rather how populists speak about it

          • rhabarba
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            -310 months ago

            Please tell me what people actually reject.

            I can only speak for myself now. Perhaps this much about me: I am a data protection-loving communist. As such, I am bothered by unjust laws in the EU such as data retention and the constant feeling that we are ultimately powerless here because no matter what we do, our future is decided in Brussels/Strasbourg. Germany in particular tends to deport politicians who have proven to be the enemy of the free web in this country to the European Parliament (Axel Voss, Ursula von der Leyen, etc.).

  • @ChicoSuave
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    1410 months ago

    Blame a global trend toward neoliberal economics, which uses financial incentives to form right wing leaning governments. Once something starts trending towards authoritarianism, it’s just a matter of time before the irrationality cascade turns it into a militant government and ultimately into fascism.

    So many people are afraid of communal wealth, of socialist ideas, that they would rather plunge the world into a fiery out of suffering to avoid losing wealth in their own life.

  • LifeBandit666
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    910 months ago

    Just remember Europeans that “Brexit means Brexit”

    But what was Brexit when we voted on Brexit? What did it mean? It meant Brexit!

  • @[email protected]
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    410 months ago

    GDPR and gatekeeper law was too good for them, they need to enshittify the parliament because there is no free lunch (we make sure of it)

  • AutoTL;DRB
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    210 months ago

    This is the best summary I could come up with:


    Populist “anti-European” parties are heading for big gains in June’s European elections that could shift the parliament’s balance sharply to the right and jeopardise key pillars of the EU’s agenda including climate action, polling suggests.

    Projected second- or third-place finishes in another nine countries, including Germany, Spain, Portugal and Sweden, could for the first time produce a majority rightwing coalition in the parliament of Christian Democrats, conservatives and radical right MEPs.

    The researchers said the implications of the vote were far-reaching, arguing the next European parliament could block laws on Europe’s green deal and take a harder line on other areas of EU sovereignty including migration, enlargement and support for Ukraine.

    The left and populist right, including the European Conservatives and Reformists Group (ECR) and far-right Identity and Democracy (ID), are set to emerge as the main victors, with a real possibility of entering a majority coalition for the first time.

    Their voices willcarry most weight in several founding-member states, the polling suggests, with Giorgia Meloni’s Brothers of Italy forecast to boost its MEP tally to 27 and Marine Le Pen’s National Rally on track to win a record 25 seats.

    Populist eurosceptic parties are likely to come first in Austria, Belgium, the Czech Republic, France, Hungary, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland and Slovakia, and second or third in Bulgaria, Estonia, Finland, Germany, Latvia, Portugal, Romania, Spain and Sweden.


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