Inflation showed little signs of letting up in March, with a key barometer the Federal Reserve watches closely showing that price pressures remain elevated.
The personal consumption expenditures price index excluding food and energy increased 2.8% from a year ago in March, the same as in February, the Commerce Department reported Friday. That was above the 2.7% estimate from the Dow Jones consensus.
Including food and energy, the all-items PCE price gauge increased 2.7%, compared to the 2.6% estimate.
On a monthly basis, both measures increased 0.3%, as expected and equaling the increase from February.
Markets showed little reaction to the data, with Wall Street poised to open higher. Treasury yields fell, with the benchmark 10-year note at 4.67%, down about 0.4 percentage point on the session. Futures traders grew slightly more optimistic about two potential rate cuts this year, raising the probability to 44%, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch gauge.
If the Fed wants to get their inflation down to 2%, they are going to have to keep rates up for much longer. So don’t expect any cuts anytime soon. Now if they give up and say, okay, 3% is alright, then you might see something.
