- cross-posted to:
- politicsunfiltered
- cross-posted to:
- politicsunfiltered
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Ok, then let’s encourage those republicans to sit this one out then. Commanding lead and all…
Five posts in thirteen minutes in the same community?
Point of comparison: For the communities I moderate I try to keep it around 3 per DAY that I submit for fear I’ll dominate the conversation.
They’ve had about seventeen in the last day and are in the comment sections riling up the community the whole time.
I’ve never seen someone post so many comments in their own posts and 90% are bad faith copypastas.
They’re just sooooo interested in these articles, it’s totally innocent friend. Thanks!
What? I’m just posting political articles on a political sub and following guidelines. If you have an issue with that, you can message the mod team.
I am glad we can have a civil conversation about this, friend. Speed reading like that is quite a skill.
I thought this dude was just a Shill Stein supporter not a MAGA freak.
I have them tagged as a Trump Propagandist.
Of the 5 currently undecided states, Trump needs 3-4 to win. PA + 2 to 3 more.
Harris needs 1. PA. That’s it. Even if she loses PA, there’s a path to win with 2 states or 3 states.
I made a whole comment on it here:
538 is not a reliable source since Nate Silver left. He’s written about why, but that’s not the point here.
Michigan and Wisconsin are still very much up in the air. Most polls have them within the margin of error. That means they could very easily turn out red, even without anything being wrong with the polling method. The other states are even closer.
It’s a terrifyingly close election, and even the smallest influence could change the result. What does the weather look like on election day? How did your portfolio do the day before? How long are the lines?
These could alter the course of history, even if we ignore things like more hurricanes in swing states.
Harris still has a slight edge, but it’s barely above 50/50. Get out and vote (even in a safe red/blue state), vote the whole ballot, and do whatever you can to get others to vote as well. Ideally, vote early so nothing can interfere at the last minute.
538 is an aggregate.
If you look at the polling page for Michigan:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/michigan/
Harris wins 4 out of the 7 most recent polls. Trump wins 2. One was a tie.
Right now, things are looking good in MI and the 3rd party vote is right at 0 to 1% as predicted.
Yes, and Harris by 1.7 (as it shows currently) is still within the margin of error. Assuming a 3% margin of error (common, but I didn’t look at the details for any of these polls), anything from Harris by 4.7 to Trump by 1.3 is perfectly in line with predictions.
In human terms, Harris has a very narrow lead, which could easily disappear when people actually go to the polls.
Which is why I think she’ll win with no problems.
What everyone is not taking into account is that every state and local election since the overturning of Rowe has skewed pro-Democrat and outside the margin of error. I expect the same from the Presidential election alone. I’m more worried about what’s happening with Congress.
Meh, I think Harris will win by a sizeable margin. But I’m also not scared of Trump winning. I’m not voting for either one of them.
Because you’re clearly a foreign agent and cant vote anyway.
Mark Halperin is a gross pervert, glad only newsmax will continue to hire him.
Newsweek - News Source Context (Click to view Full Report)
Information for Newsweek:
MBFC: Right-Center - Credibility: High - Factual Reporting: Mostly Factual - United States of America
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