“Democrats are struggling in Iowa because they’ve totally lost touch with Iowa values and our voters,” said Addie Lavis, Hinson’s campaign manager. “ … Ashley’s record of conservative accomplishments speaks for itself, and she and our team are working every single day to keep Iowa red and fire Joe Biden in 2024 so we can take our country back."

Ironically, Red Team isn’t wrong here.

By party registration, Iowa is roughly a three-way split between Democrats, Republicans, and Independents. During the last major election cycle, the IDP ran multiple anti-firearm candidates. That same cycle, Iowa passed a ballot initiative to codify strict scrutiny on restrictions in the state constitution. It passed with an unprecedented ~66% support. Red team wins here by simply not shooting itself in the foot. This should have been what one would call a sign, yet… they seem to have learned nothing.

During the 2022 cycle, voters were polled for priorities. Most voters considered reproductive health important but not as important as economy / wages, inflation, and education. The IDP campaigned almost exclusively on reproductive health. Red team won here by speaking to the issues voters actually prioritized, even where it was misinformation or lies. It was such a shit show the Libertarian Party managed to regain major party status. Specific to my district, we lost Axne (D) to Nunn ® - and with Axne’s throwing in with anti-firearm efforts while also throwing in with police-friendly efforts, it was entirely predictable.

Twitter has been full of prospective candidates happy to criticize red team but fuck-all for those same prospective candidates and plans to actually, say, tangibly address Iowan concerns or make lives better for those Iowans.

Locally, the running commentary is that these are all such obvious shortcomings and failings it’s as if the IDP is trying to lose - even incompetence should eke out a win here and there; consistent universal loss can’t be accidental.