🚨 This week’s Opinium poll for @ObserverUK.
Labour makes gains and leads by 18 points.
Labour 44% (+3)
Conservatives 26% (-3)
Lib Dems 8% (-3)
SNP 2% (-1)
Green 7% (n/c)
Reform UK 10% (+3)
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Just wanttos say, I’m a big fan of this content in this format. Please keep it up!
Flavible:
Party Pred % Pred Seats CON 26.0% 181 LAB 44.0% 402 LD 8.0% 28 REFUK 10.0% 0 Green 7.0% 1 SNP 2% 13 PC 0.5% 3 Electoral Calculus (2023 Boundaries’):
Party 2019 Votes 2019 Seats Pred Votes Gains Losses Net Change Pred Seats CON 44.7% 375 26.0% 6 234 -228 147 LAB 33.0% 198 44.0% 262 0 +262 460 LIB 11.8% 8 8% 6 2 +4 12 Reform 2.1% 0 10% 0 0 +0 0 Green 2.8% 1 7% 0 0 +0 1 SNP 4.0% 48 2% 0 39 -39 9 PlaidC 0.5% 2 0.4% 1 1 +0 2 Other 1.1% 0 0.1% 0 0 +0 0 N.Ire - 18 - 0 0 +0 18 Scotland EC Break-Down
Con Lab Lib REF Green SNP 19% 34% 1% 6% 12% 28% 1% for the Libs in Scotland is 100% sampling error, they had just 1 person in 126 in Scotland go for the Lib Dems, so major dose of salt…
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Is Reform UK actually going to stand any candidates? Are they only advertising on social media, so I don’t see it? They are literally invisible to me.