A Washington-based married couple’s challenge to an obscure provision of the 2017 Republican tax law has the potential to become “the most important tax case in a century,” with far-reaching implications for federal revenues, key social programs, and Congress’ constitutional authority to impose levies on income.

That’s according to a new report released Wednesday by the Roosevelt Institute and the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy (ITEP).

The policy groups estimated that if the conservative-dominated U.S. Supreme Court sides with the plaintiffs in Moore v. United States—which the justices are set to take up in December—nearly 400 multinational corporations could collectively receive more than $270 billion in tax relief, further enriching behemoths such as Apple, Microsoft, Pfizer, Johnson & Johnson, and Google.

The Roosevelt Institute and ITEP also found that Chief Justice John Roberts and Associate Justice Samuel Alito own stock in 19 companies that are poised to receive a combined $30 billion in tax breaks if the judges strike down the 2017 law’s mandatory repatriation tax, a one-time levy targeting earnings that multinational corporations had piled up overseas.

But the case could have impacts well beyond a repeal of the repatriation tax, which was projected to generate $340 billion in federal revenue over a decade.

Depending on the scope of the justices’ decision, the new report argues, the Supreme Court could “suddenly supplant Congress as a major American tax policymaker, putting at legal jeopardy much of the architecture of laws that prevent corporations and individuals from avoiding taxes, and introducing great uncertainty about our democracy’s ability to tax large corporations and the most affluent.”

“At the best of times, blowing a $340 billion hole in the federal budget would be catastrophic,” Matt Gardner, a senior fellow at ITEP and a co-author of the new report, said in a statement. “And if the court invalidates the transition tax in its Moore decision, that’s exactly what would happen: possibly the costliest Supreme Court decision of all time. And it would be hard to identify a less deserving set of tax cut beneficiaries than the companies that would reap at least $271 billion from repealing this tax.”

Charles and Kathleen Moore brought their challenge to the repatriation provision after they were hit with a roughly $15,000 tax bill stemming from their stake in an Indian farm equipment company. As the Tax Policy Center recently observed, the Indian firm is a “controlled foreign corporation (CFC), or a foreign corporation whose ownership or voting rights are more than 50% owned by U.S. persons who each own at least 10%.”

The Moores’ cause has been championed by billionaire-backed organizations and corporate lobbying groups, including the Manhattan Institute–which is chaired by billionaire hedge fund mogul Paul Singer—and the powerful U.S. Chamber of Commerce.

“That such a case involving such modest sums would make it all the way to the high court indicates that there is much more at play than a single family’s tax refund,” ITEP’s Gardner and Spandan Marasini and the Roosevelt Institute’s Niko Lusiani note in the new report.

The plaintiffs’ legal team argues that because the Moores’ shares in the Indian firm were not “realized”—they did not sell or receive a distribution from the company—they should not have been on the hook for the repatriation tax.

“The government, on the other hand, argues that almost a century of tax law precedent has established Congress’ broad authority to decide when and how to tax income, even without a specific realization event,” the new report explains. “What’s more, the income was clearly realized by the corporation, which is sufficient for income taxation of shareholders under various provisions of the existing tax code.”

While it’s possible that the Supreme Court will rule narrowly on the specifics of the Moores’ situation, the report authors cautioned that the justices “could also issue a broad decision that taxing income—of an individual or a corporate shareholder—requires realization, and that income taxation on multiple years of accrued income is unconstitutional.”

Such a sweeping ruling could preemptively ban a wealth tax—an outcome that right-wing supporters of the Moores have explicitly advocated.

“This case presents the court with an ideal opportunity to clarify that taxes on unrealized gains, such as wealth taxes, are direct taxes that are unconstitutional if not apportioned among the states,” the Manhattan Institute declared in a May amicus brief.

A broad ruling by the high court could also imperil key elements of the existing tax code, according to ITEP and the Roosevelt Institute.

“One of the most established of these pillars is known as Subpart F, which was enacted in 1962 to prevent American corporations from avoiding taxation through offshore entities or controlled foreign corporations,” the new report says. “Provisions related to Global Intangible Low-Taxed Income (GILTI), the branch profits tax; tax treatment of corporate debt; and others could be uprooted by five justices.”

“The Corporate Alternative Minimum Tax—enacted as part of the Inflation Reduction Act to create a basic corporate tax floor—as well as international efforts to curb international tax avoidance could be made constitutionally invalid,” the report adds.

The analysis stresses that the consequences of a broad ruling in the upcoming case would be profound, affecting more than just a handful of corporate tax provisions.

“In Moore,” the report warns, “the Roberts Court could decide with the stroke of a pen to simultaneously forgive big business decades of tax dues, increase the federal deficit over the long run, jeopardize future public revenue and essential social programs, escalate these multinational companies’ already sizeable after-tax profits, and further enrich their shareholders.”

  • @SinningStromgald
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    1219 months ago

    And there is no way in hell either of those justices will do the right thing and divest themselves or recuse themselves from.the decision.

    • @Wrench
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      379 months ago

      Of course they won’t. They have colluded with their conservative hedge funders, and the lower court judges, to make sure the case reaches the Supreme Court so they can rule on it.

      See the 5 sitting Supreme Court justices that openly show their Federalist Society membership (plus 1 denier), as well as multiple justices being caught at fund raising events for these conservative hedge funds that bankroll the legal bills to push these cases up the courts.

      They are so openly corrupt, and have zero accountability.

      • @[email protected]
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        89 months ago

        it’s alright, we just have to wait until their terms are up so we can democratically elect better justices, based on the will of the people

        :-(

  • @Sanctus
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    879 months ago

    We have our own check to this power the SCOTUS wields, its called rioting until the streets return to dust.

    • theotherone
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      359 months ago

      If they are installing themselves as such an influence, I’m sure it come as no surprise when the torches and pitchforks come out. The legislature is too broken to deal with this. It will literally be the end of their lifetime appointments. Sadly

      • @cmbabul
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        369 months ago

        I’ve felt this way for a while but unfortunately each day makes me more sure that one way or another some sort of civil conflict is inevitable for the US. There’s so many damn inflection points where we could easily spiral into chaos. This country simply must change top to bottom, and the longer that change, whatever form it may take, gets held back the bigger the bubble gets and it’s probably going to pop in a really devastating way.

        • Transient Punk
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          109 months ago

          I’m trying to prepare for all this by reading The History of the Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire.

          History doesn’t repeat, but it does rhyme

          • @cmbabul
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            119 months ago

            So the whole history repeats itself thing, is from the saying “those who don’t learn from history are doomed to repeat it” as far as I know. And as someone who majored in/attended some grad school for and is just generally interested in history and lore, the sad truth is that no one ever learns a goddamn thing from history. Over and over again a society somewhere on the planet arrives, improves the lives of people within it, if it isn’t destroyed or conquered by another society power begins to consolidate alongside quality of life improvements, power becomes entrenched and then subsequently abusive, life becomes intolerable in the those not in power and it either collapses/fractures or revolution happens. We’re now in the unfortunate position of a societal collapse being our last one given the developments we’ve made this cycle and their repercussions

        • @0110010001100010
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          79 months ago

          I’ve been feeling this for a bit now, as unfortunate as it is I don’t see this ending without violence. The lingering question remains, who actually “wins” when the dust settles. Win of course being a loose term as the country will be truly broken at that point.

          • @cmbabul
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            49 months ago

            No I take your meaning, I’m not specifically advocating or endorsing what I’m saying, I just don’t see a different way that seems in any way possible in the current climate. Some truly deus ex shit would have to happen for us to change course in any meaningful way. There won’t be any winners, and the even more upsetting thing is a civil war 2 would be WWIII because of the implications of the(like it or not) global hegemony descending into such a conflict

          • @WHYAREWEALLCAPS
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            29 months ago

            The rich do. They always do. And before people go “But the guillotine!” The French Revolution did not kill all the nobles and rich people, just those out of favor. And then the people who led the revolution became the new rich people. Even though they were rich people to begin with. If you think this all ends with anything other than a new name for the same old same old, you’re kidding yourself.

  • @jerome
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    789 months ago

    a country overthrown by it’s supreme court? interesting.

    • @whereisk
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      59 months ago

      Don’t worry, all the extra money will go to higher salaries for all workers. /s

  • @Burn_The_Right
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    279 months ago

    Fuck this illegitimate court of conservative sub-human shitbags.

  • @_number8_
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    259 months ago

    why is the evil stuff always so trivial??

    • @AllonzeeLV
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      9 months ago

      Because the evil people in charge made evil easier to do than good.

      That’s what happens when you put already affluent people in charge as we always have. You’d think receptionists(for example) would want to occasionally send a someone with a receptionist’s perspective to represent their interests, but nope, almost never happens.

      Ooh I know, lets send another of the old money Bush family to lead us! Oof, that didn’t work out, let’s send the guy with a reality show entirely focused on how rich he wants us to believe he is! That guy must empathize with the plight of the common laborer!

  • PatFusty
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    239 months ago

    So this couple is fighting because their unrealized gains are offshore. Is this couple stupid or just malicious? They should have known exactly what they were getting into when they started this is bonkers.

  • blazera
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    59 months ago

    This a weird one, cus that generally is the case that stock gains arent taxed until realized. Since it will eventually be realized and taxed then.

    • themeatbridge
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      189 months ago

      That’s a capital gains tax. This was a one-time tax on liquid assets held overseas.

      The deal here is that Congress changed the way international earnings were taxed. Before 2017, international earnings were only taxed when they were repatriated, meaning the US owner of an international company could avoid paying US taxes by keeping their earnings outside of the USA. Money earned by Microsoft in Poland would stay in Poland to be spent in Poland. In 2017, they passed a law that removed the tax on repatriated money, which should have encouraged US corporations to bring their earnings back to the USA to spend more of it here.

      However, removing the tax was unfair to the corporations that had been paying the repatriation taxes, and rewarded the corporations and individuals that had been hiding their earnings internationally. To make it politically palatable, they created a single tax on outstanding international liquid assets, with payments that could be spread out over 8 years.

      There was no requirement that gains be realized or assets be sold. This is well within the established parameters for legal taxation. That it’s going before the Supreme Court is alarming by itself, because the legal costs have far exceeded the $15,000 owed, and the precedent is as black and white as it gets. If the court sides with the defendants, it’s because the court is illegitimate and no longer operating in good faith.

    • @[email protected]
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      79 months ago

      More like since eventually it’s going to be inherited and the start untax value updated and then sold without paying any taxes on their growth.