Using comps of both Shazam 2 and Black Adam, “The Flash” domestic total is looking to be around $103m-118m.
Using Black Adam dailies from here on out it gets to $129m, but I can’t see how it has a run like that based on the second weekend drop The Flash is having (73% vs 59% for Black Adam) and upcoming competition.
Using Shazam: Fury of the Gods dailies it would get to $112m. I have a hard time believing it’ll leg out even as well as this, but I’m being conservative here as this is the first time I’m doing my own analysis with the pure data from comp dailies.
Black Adam and Shazam 2 had the same domestic/international split of 43/57%.
The Flash is slightly more international heavy with 41.5/58.5%.
Assuming this split holds that would take the $103m-118m domestic to a worldwide of $250m-290m worldwide final.
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Here’s a simplified image of the projections using Black Adam and Shazam 2. If you have any suggestions for how I can improve this image, let me know.
Oh my goodness. I knew it was struggling but I didn’t know it was THAT bad. A few weeks ago some analysts thought it could hit $100m on OW!
