I hate politics season when the sky is crashing down every other week when a new poll comes out. We’ve spent three years fixing at least a few cases of gerrymandering and with Biden performing better than anyone expected as President. I voted for the guy thinking literally a vegetable would be better than Trump and what we got had been an effective President and perhaps the most progressive policies since… well since I can remember at least and I’m up there.
It’s a long time to the election, and it’s not going to be decided by how things are today, but how things are in about 8 months - and many factors beyond anyone’s control. It won’t be Biden who wins or loses, it’ll be a referendum on how the swing states feel the country is doing. However I personally feel about the Israel situation, Michigan and Pennsylvania as states don’t give a fuck. And that’s been about his only… I hesitate to call it a blunder because there is no good way to handle it that doesn’t piss off a bunch of people, but his handling of it feels like a moral failing although maybe it will turn out to be politically savvy.
At any rate, everyone on the left has been pretty happy with him, if disappointed that someone even more progressive wasn’t run in the first place, but all the political polls are coming out at a moment when he has pissed a bunch of people off. It will all settle down and this moment isn’t the one that will determine the election. Look at the economy in 6, 8 months and then panic or don’t.
On the off-chance that Trump fails to secure the Conservative nomination from his jail cell, we have a chance of a more progressive president as Biden has said he’ll step back.
The question (and problem) is: who? Yes, it’s early in the election cycle, but it’s late for candidates to be coming forward. They need to start getting recognition and building momentum now.
Kamila would be a disaster. I used to think she was being groomed, but she’s her public reception has been tepid, at best. Bernie’s burnt out, and would be a hard sell, today; the hypocracy of liberals complainig about the party running only old, white men would be too much to bear. So who’s a Democratic candidate who could mobilize the base?
I liked Warren so I’m probably a terrible person to answer that question because she got no traction.
Team Warren! I’d love to see her as president. She might be too liberal to win. I also like Amy Klobuchar; she’s more moderate and might appeal nore to the undecided center, and she’s run before and also has wide recognition. I’d be thrilled with either.
I do think it’s dangerous for the party to wait until after the Repub primary to start promoting their candidate.
They’ll remain in denial until about a week after election day if it means they don’t have to fix their garbage messaging.
Then they’ll start blaming people they were hostile towards for not wanting to vote for them.
People who like Trump as reported by the media: “This regular Joe is such a hardcore Trump nut he’s selling his kidney to pay for a Trump NFT even though Trump pledged specifically to put him in a concentration camp.”
People who like Biden as reported by the media: “Conformist Dem might bother voting for Biden can you believe this nerd?”
The polling average is 47/44 Trump, a margin of error apart with 9% undecided and Trump has a pretty huge downside possibility what with the federal and state charges headed his way. It’s close.
Whenever you see a “progressive” outlet these days you unfortunately have to wonder if they’re a legitimate progressive outlet or just yet another outlet for Kremlin propaganda aimed at the left. Fortunately there’s a pretty easy way to check: Look at the results to a search for “Ukraine”
And when you find shit like this:
Illusory Truth Effect: The “Unprovoked” Invasion of Ukraine
NATO Enlargement to Ukraine Could Trigger World War III
You know what you’re looking at.
