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Cake day: April 30th, 2025

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  • I’m trying to think of countries America is most likely to end up like, but America’s military power complicates basically any comparison. But I’m thinking there are so many parallels to Nazi germany. A core difference is the access to information we have. First and foremost historical precedent, but also social media (even though it’s also part of the reason we’re in this mess).

    If Trump can’t achieve a critical mass of compliance, a military coup is the most likely salvation. Specifically Trump calling the military on mass peaceful protests and in response the military saying “we’d rather coup the president”. Violent resistance would close this avenue off, as it would galvanise the military behind the president.

    There’s also the question of whether ICE will be sufficiently militarized by the time this happens, and whether it would even occur to Trump to call in ICE to suppress protests. Nobody but the worst of the worst will join ICE, if their personnel and equipment can overwhelm even the local police (ACAB, but like, not ACAMAGA) then it would take gross incompetence for Trump to lose power.

    That is domestically. The question now stands:

    • Will they actually invade Canada or Greenland (nobody’ll pay attention to Panama)?
    • Would the rest of the world resist?
    • Would they succeed?
    • Would it result in nuclear war?

    Keep in mind I am not an expert. Also this is all putting aside Trump’s narcissism. Trump wants to be seen as a good person and a genius and I’m not sure he’d go as far as to massacre crowds of protesters specifically. If nothing else such violence would look like a failure on his part. Whoever succeeds Trump, a Republican obviously, would need to be Stephen Miller levels of bad.