The Hamas-run health ministry in Gaza says dozens of people have been killed in a refugee camp.
  • @FlowVoidEnglish
    0•6 months ago

    The last public numbers from US intel in January had much more detail and said 20% incapacitated, not 20% dead.

    I don’t think so, this is from your January link (my emphasis):

    security forces have killed just 20-30 percent of the terror group’s terrorists in the Gaza Strip, US intelligence agencies are reportedly estimating.

    The wounded are counted separately.

    • NatanaelEnglish
      1•6 months ago

      This article seems to have the clearest numbers

      https://today.lorientlejour.com/article/1365166/israeli-forces-have-killed-20-30-percent-of-hamas-fighters-wsj-report.html

      25-30K fighters, 20-30% killed, so at best ~10K down to ~5K, assuming their intel is correct. It’s very strange that the estimate of killed fighters is in percent and injuries is in absolute numbers. Doesn’t make me feel confident they got the context right of the numbers shared

      • @FlowVoidEnglish
        0•6 months ago

        at best ~10K down to ~5K

        I believe those are still from January, when the total number of deaths was 25,000. So if they are correct then that would result in a casualty ratio between 1.5:1 and 4:1

        • NatanaelEnglish
          1•6 months ago

          … And they’re almost all caused by one side, not casualties divided across two equal fighting armies among civilians.

          • @FlowVoidEnglish
            0•6 months ago

            I’m not sure that matters, since the majority of military casualties are caused by the same side.

            So for example, when evaluating the Iraq War you would compare Iraqi civilian to Iraqi military casualties. There is little point in looking at American civilian casualties.