I was considering making a 30+ TB NAS to simplify and streamline my current setup but because it’s a relatively low priority for me I am wondering is it worth it to hold off for a year or two?

I am unsure if prices have more or less plateaued and the difference won’t be all that substantial. Maybe I should just wait for Black Friday.

For context it seems like two 16TB HDD would cost about $320 currently.

Here’s some related links:

  • This article by Our World in Data contains a chart with how the price per GB has decreased overtime.

  • This article by Tom’s Hardware talks about how in July 2023 SSD prices bottomed out before climbing back up predicted further increases in 2024.

  • CorrodedOPEnglish
    5•5 months ago

    In general, technology gets cheaper for better products over time. Short term that’s not always true, but the longer timescales you look, the better is it for consumers.

    Yeah that’s why I linked the graph above. I asked here because I thought someone might have looked into this before and have a better insight on it. Maybe they’ve read about foretasted chip shortages or some kind of technological improvement with manufacturing? I am not sure. It’s something I only sporadically see articles about.

    A year or two is a long time, and probably worth waiting.

    If the price of a HDD on sale this year is equal to the average price of the same tier of HDD two or three years from now I’d probably just pull the trigger now.

    • @[email protected]
      3•5 months ago

      There are a number of storage technologies in the works right now. However, I think they will result in a new type of memory device rather than HDDs getting cheaper. Kind of like how a stack of CDs isn’t cheaper now than it was in 2005, rather there are new types of storage that offer more memory and longer life spans.

      So if you are definetly going HDD, prices are probably not going to get that much cheaper, if any cheaper at all.

      I’d say keep an eye out for sales & that will probably make a bigger difference than waiting a set amount of time.

        • @[email protected]
          2•5 months ago

          That tech looks super cool & might be worth waiting for, but from what I’ve been reading it is still being perfected and will likely see big improvements fairly quickly after release.

          Heres a clip from this article I think is relevent: Teh said the new drives have double the capacity of storage systems using conventional 16TB perpendicular magnetic recording (PMR) drives, and this can be doubled again over the next four years. The company is projecting 4TB platters in the next couple of years, with 5TB coming shortly thereafter, and 6TB out beyond the current roadmap.

          So there’s a chance you wait for those drives, pay a little extra cuz the tech is new, then have something twice as good get released a year or two later.

          It’s definetly a tricky situation & ultimately up to you and what you want. Do you need that extra storage asap, or is it more of a eventually kind thing? Does new tech have its own intrinsic value to you, or is it more about price per terabyte?

          Good luck with your decision! I know how hard these kind of choices can be. You never know what the market will look like after you finally make that big purchase.