This is only really relevant for the actual elections. This effect isn’t nearly as strong in the primaries where it counts and is needed.
The DNC has literally testified in court that they don’t have to abide by the results of their primaries because they aren’t real elections. They don’t even have to hold primaries at all. The primary process is a joke and people who want genuine change won’t be allowed to win, it’s a dead end.
Look, either we work within the system to make things better, or we have a violent revolution. There isn’t much of a middle option.
There is, actually. Ditching the party and moving to a new one, for starters.
The DNC has literally testified in court that they don’t have to abide by the results of their primaries because they aren’t real elections. They don’t even have to hold primaries at all. The primary process is a joke and people who want genuine change won’t be allowed to win, it’s a dead end.
Yet the candidates I named won their congressional seats.
There is, actually. Ditching the party and moving to a new one, for starters.
And that’s how you get the spoiler effect, and another round of fascist SCOTUS appointments for the next few decades, a fascist president, project 2025, etc.
And that’s how you get the spoiler effect, and another round of fascist SCOTUS appointments for the next few decades, a fascist president, project 2025, etc.
Which will not happen. Millions of people are not going to suddenly change their two party voting behavior, as it has been established for well over a century at this point, because the system itself is the problem.
You are gambling with peoples lives if you vote 3rd party.
Won’t stop me from trying. If a third party gains enough strength, they could at least leverage an endorsement in exchange for concessions, while at the same time challenging the belief that they’re useless.
It’s true that lesser-evilist ideology has a vice grip on most Americans, so it’s an uphill battle. But it’s an incorrect ideology, and one that’s going to screw me over sooner or later, so I can’t accept it. I’d rather play the longshot, unless and until the democrats are actually willing to come to the negotiating table.
. If a third party gains enough strength, they could at least leverage an endorsement in exchange for concessions, while at the same time challenging the belief that they’re useless.
The key word there being “if”. It’s a gamble, and it is likely to result in Trump getting installed as president. When he kills gender affirming care programs, the blood of trans people will be on your hands. When he kills renewable energy programs and environmental protections, the deaths caused by the resulting heat waves/air polution/industrial runoff/etc will be ok your hands.
You are quite literally gambling with peoples lives.
But it’s an incorrect ideology
It’s not. It’s the natural, mathematical result of a FPTP voting system. If two candidates are close to each other on a hypothetical political map, and if everyone votes for the candidate closest to them, then the candidate farthest away wins.
Take this graph. If a 3rd candidate was running, and whose policy positions were at (-0.75, -.5) and Clinton at (-0.5, -0.75) then Clinton gets half the votes they otherwise would, and the same goes for the new 3rd candidate.
This is what happens when people just vote for whoever is closest to them. They split the vote. You cannot avoid this unless the system is changed, because this is the natural result of FPTP voting, a two party system.
and one that’s going to screw me over sooner or later, so I can’t accept it
It’s already screwing you over. It’s been screwing you over since you were born. And it will always continue to do so until the system is changed.
Because even if some 3rd party magically gained prominence, either the DNC or GOP would die, and we would be right back to two parties, and your options again limited.
No, it will be on the hands of the people who voted for Trump, not mine.
For the record, I am trans. The only viable long term strategy for minority groups is to band together and draw a red line that the democrats cannot win without meeting, and that red line means opposing the Palestinian genocide. I believe there’s a famous poem about what happens when the government starts picking people off and you do nothing, because you are not part of that group. We will be next. Your guilt tripping is meaningless to me, it will not get me to abandon my commitment to solidarity and to opposing genocide.
It’s not. It’s the natural, mathematical result of a FPTP voting system.
Incorrect. You are treating the options provided as set in stone, when they are not. Voting is a negotiation, and the party can change who it runs or how they act based on the actions of voters.
If I walk into a negotiation saying, “My only option is literally Hitler, I will vote for you no matter what,” then I have sacrificed every modicum of bargaining power I might have otherwise wielded. The mathematics of the situation are irrelevant, it is a game of chicken and they will flinch before I do. It’s their job to win us over, and if they can’t do that, they will lose and it will be their fault.
Because even if some 3rd party magically gained prominence, either the DNC or GOP would die, and we would be right back to two parties, and your options again limited.
Except that a third party could enact voting reform to get us out of this situation permanently, something which is impossible otherwise.
No, it will be on the hands of the people who voted for Trump, not mine.
If there is a mob boss threatening to kill your family, and you fuck around trying to negotiate with the useless police to do something, and during that negotiation the mob boss kills your family, it is absolutely on you.
You wasted your time negotiating when your family was getting killed. You can’t just stand back and doing nothing while people’s lives are in danger.
The only viable long term strategy for minority groups is to band together and draw a red line that the democrats cannot win without meeting, and that red line means opposing the Palestinian genocide. I believe there’s a famous poem about what happens when the government starts picking people off and you do nothing, because you are not part of that group. We will be next.
I am well aware. And telling people to vote 3rd party is equivalent to doing nothing, and letting the Palestinians go first. Because no matter how hard you tell people to abandon the DNC, at best you can only hope for people voting for the closest candidate to them, which means that Trump wins.
And the SCOTUS just ruled that Trump is immune from persecution for “official acts”. How much do you want to bet your life and your trans brothers and sisters lives on your/our deaths being “official acts”?
Your guilt tripping is meaningless to me, it will not get me to abandon my commitment to solidarity and to opposing genocide.
I implore you, please continue your opposition to the Palestinian genocide. But Trump will make their lives significantly worse in addition to the queer community.
Voting is a negotiation, and the party can change who it runs or how they act based on the actions of voters.
That’s exactly what I’ve been saying. If the establishment democrats get trashed in their primaries, the party will shift, just like the GOP shifted towards the MAGA crowd.
This is exactly what I’ve been saying.
The mathematics of the situation are irrelevant, it is a game of chicken and they will flinch before I do. It’s their job to win us over, and if they can’t do that, they will lose and it will be their fault.
They didn’t flinch in 2016. They didn’t flinch in 2020. They’re not gonna flinch this time.
They ran with Clinton and Biden despite knowing how hated they are. You may be willing to play that game of chicken, but you’re not the only voter, you need everyone else to play it with you. Not everyone is willing to play that game of chicken, which is why 3rd party candidates don’t win.
Your strategy is a losing one.
Except that a third party could enact voting reform to get us out of this situation permanently, something which is impossible otherwise.
Could. They could, but they also could find that they quite like power and keep it the way it is.
And no, it is not impossible otherwise. I’ve already shown you how actual leftist candidates can gain power within the DNC (unless I got you confused with a different user).
It’s possible that my strategy is a losing one. It’s possible that every strategy is a losing one. This is the only possible route I see, regardless of how likely it is to succeed. Maybe we’ll have more strength this time. Maybe we’ll have more strength next time. All I know for sure is that “lesser evilism” doesn’t work, and like I said, it cedes all my bargaining power. Maybe I don’t have any bargaining power in the first place, in which case what I do is irrelevant.
Point is, I have something they want, and they have something I want, and until they sit down at the table, and respect that genocide is a red line, there will be no cooperation. End of story.
The DNC has literally testified in court that they don’t have to abide by the results of their primaries because they aren’t real elections. They don’t even have to hold primaries at all. The primary process is a joke and people who want genuine change won’t be allowed to win, it’s a dead end.
There is, actually. Ditching the party and moving to a new one, for starters.
Yet the candidates I named won their congressional seats.
And that’s how you get the spoiler effect, and another round of fascist SCOTUS appointments for the next few decades, a fascist president, project 2025, etc.
Unless enough people do it.
Which will not happen. Millions of people are not going to suddenly change their two party voting behavior, as it has been established for well over a century at this point, because the system itself is the problem.
You are gambling with peoples lives if you vote 3rd party.
Won’t stop me from trying. If a third party gains enough strength, they could at least leverage an endorsement in exchange for concessions, while at the same time challenging the belief that they’re useless.
It’s true that lesser-evilist ideology has a vice grip on most Americans, so it’s an uphill battle. But it’s an incorrect ideology, and one that’s going to screw me over sooner or later, so I can’t accept it. I’d rather play the longshot, unless and until the democrats are actually willing to come to the negotiating table.
The key word there being “if”. It’s a gamble, and it is likely to result in Trump getting installed as president. When he kills gender affirming care programs, the blood of trans people will be on your hands. When he kills renewable energy programs and environmental protections, the deaths caused by the resulting heat waves/air polution/industrial runoff/etc will be ok your hands.
You are quite literally gambling with peoples lives.
It’s not. It’s the natural, mathematical result of a FPTP voting system. If two candidates are close to each other on a hypothetical political map, and if everyone votes for the candidate closest to them, then the candidate farthest away wins.
Take this graph. If a 3rd candidate was running, and whose policy positions were at (-0.75, -.5) and Clinton at (-0.5, -0.75) then Clinton gets half the votes they otherwise would, and the same goes for the new 3rd candidate.
This is what happens when people just vote for whoever is closest to them. They split the vote. You cannot avoid this unless the system is changed, because this is the natural result of FPTP voting, a two party system.
It’s already screwing you over. It’s been screwing you over since you were born. And it will always continue to do so until the system is changed.
Because even if some 3rd party magically gained prominence, either the DNC or GOP would die, and we would be right back to two parties, and your options again limited.
No, it will be on the hands of the people who voted for Trump, not mine.
For the record, I am trans. The only viable long term strategy for minority groups is to band together and draw a red line that the democrats cannot win without meeting, and that red line means opposing the Palestinian genocide. I believe there’s a famous poem about what happens when the government starts picking people off and you do nothing, because you are not part of that group. We will be next. Your guilt tripping is meaningless to me, it will not get me to abandon my commitment to solidarity and to opposing genocide.
Incorrect. You are treating the options provided as set in stone, when they are not. Voting is a negotiation, and the party can change who it runs or how they act based on the actions of voters.
If I walk into a negotiation saying, “My only option is literally Hitler, I will vote for you no matter what,” then I have sacrificed every modicum of bargaining power I might have otherwise wielded. The mathematics of the situation are irrelevant, it is a game of chicken and they will flinch before I do. It’s their job to win us over, and if they can’t do that, they will lose and it will be their fault.
Except that a third party could enact voting reform to get us out of this situation permanently, something which is impossible otherwise.
If there is a mob boss threatening to kill your family, and you fuck around trying to negotiate with the useless police to do something, and during that negotiation the mob boss kills your family, it is absolutely on you.
You wasted your time negotiating when your family was getting killed. You can’t just stand back and doing nothing while people’s lives are in danger.
I am well aware. And telling people to vote 3rd party is equivalent to doing nothing, and letting the Palestinians go first. Because no matter how hard you tell people to abandon the DNC, at best you can only hope for people voting for the closest candidate to them, which means that Trump wins.
And the SCOTUS just ruled that Trump is immune from persecution for “official acts”. How much do you want to bet your life and your trans brothers and sisters lives on your/our deaths being “official acts”?
I implore you, please continue your opposition to the Palestinian genocide. But Trump will make their lives significantly worse in addition to the queer community.
That’s exactly what I’ve been saying. If the establishment democrats get trashed in their primaries, the party will shift, just like the GOP shifted towards the MAGA crowd.
This is exactly what I’ve been saying.
They didn’t flinch in 2016. They didn’t flinch in 2020. They’re not gonna flinch this time.
They ran with Clinton and Biden despite knowing how hated they are. You may be willing to play that game of chicken, but you’re not the only voter, you need everyone else to play it with you. Not everyone is willing to play that game of chicken, which is why 3rd party candidates don’t win.
Your strategy is a losing one.
Could. They could, but they also could find that they quite like power and keep it the way it is.
And no, it is not impossible otherwise. I’ve already shown you how actual leftist candidates can gain power within the DNC (unless I got you confused with a different user).
It’s possible that my strategy is a losing one. It’s possible that every strategy is a losing one. This is the only possible route I see, regardless of how likely it is to succeed. Maybe we’ll have more strength this time. Maybe we’ll have more strength next time. All I know for sure is that “lesser evilism” doesn’t work, and like I said, it cedes all my bargaining power. Maybe I don’t have any bargaining power in the first place, in which case what I do is irrelevant.
Point is, I have something they want, and they have something I want, and until they sit down at the table, and respect that genocide is a red line, there will be no cooperation. End of story.