- cross-posted to:
- politics
- cross-posted to:
- politics
It pops up as paywalled in Chrome, but not Firefox. Not on archive.org, so here’s a tl;dr:
"Two private polls conducted in a swing New York House district and reviewed by POLITICO — one in September and another in March — found former President Donald Trump leading Biden there by 1 point, a virtual tie. And public polls over the last four months found Biden’s lead had winnowed to just 8 points across New York — an unusually narrow gap in a state where Democrats outnumber Republicans 2 to 1.
“We’re still acting like this is a one-party state, which for pretty much 20, 25 years it has been,” Democratic Manhattan Borough President Mark Levine said. “I truly believe we’re a battleground state now.”
A Biden lead of 8 points in a state he carried by 23 in 2020 is a huge loss of support.
Current polling:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/new-york/
There is zero chance that the DNC steps aside for a third party…
And there’s like a 0.0001% chance they pick anyone except Kamala if Biden is replaced.
I think she has a better shot than Joe. Some people think the other way.
If the DNC allowed it, there is plenty of time for a primary. The DNC just isn’t going to do that. Because the incoming Dem president gets to set the DNC leadership and party platform. If a Republican wins, the party usually votes to maintain leadership.
So for current leadership when the choices are:
The only way they lose power is #3. If trump wins, they keep power and 2028 is the same shit show we’ve been living thru.
Understanding doesn’t mean I agree with it.
But that’s where we’re at right now. Biden and the DNC are willing to burn the country down for personal power. And regardless of if he wins or loses, the people in charge of the DNC stay in charge of it.