• @Hugin
    link
    52 months ago

    538 is not what it was. Nate Silver left and took the model with him. The current 538 model is new and untested. The old 538 model has Biden at 26%.

    • @[email protected]
      link
      fedilink
      English
      -22 months ago

      Good to know, thank you! My point about the other person’s degrees of certainty remains; it’s absolutely asinine to say that you know for sure and everyone who disagrees with you is unreasonable when the supporting data is that shaky.