The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is like a huge heat pump, taking water from the tropics to the north, warming areas in Europe. But as climate change accelerates, AMOC is becoming less stable. It might even be headed to a shutdown.
No, not every year has equal probability. 2057 and the years around then are the most likely.
With a 95% certainty that it’ll happen before 2095.