• @TropicalDingdong
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    91 month ago

    5% at a minimum.

    8% to be a real favorite.

    12% percent and it’s locked up.

    • @jj4211
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      41 month ago

      Well technically you hypothetically could win an election with only 23% of the popular vote.

        • @jj4211
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          11 month ago

          What is called for is more specific poll results. Like included in the data is that California went up 5% for Harris. Which doesn’t matter in real terms, those electoral votes were never up for grabs.

          In the states that are considered credibly not already settled, the polling results don’t seem to have moved much, except maybe Pennsylvania is a hair more toward Harris than before, but it’s still well within the margin of error it is so close.

    • @[email protected]
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      1 month ago

      Which is why 1% lead in polls is not very promising for kamala

      And on top of that I’m assuming the polls have a margin of error at the very least of 2%

      • @TropicalDingdong
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        -61 month ago

        I mean this is why any blue maga from the previous 8 months needs to be named, shamed, and tied to a stake at the edge of town.

        Democrats never needed to be in this position, and it wasn’t Biden to blame for the unforced error, but the anti democratic culture within the DNC, main stream media, and large social media that worked it’s ass of to shut down any questioning of Biden as presumptive nominee. That did more damage than Trump ever could have. Trump isn’t the reason Harris starts off polling in the 40s, Blue MAGA is.

        The VP pick up seems make or break for the early momentum Harris got. Shapiro seems like cold water; Walz seems like it would add fuel. If she goes Shapiro, this 1% week over week delta is going to stall out, because she’s signaled to progressives and black and brown people she doesn’t take Gaza seriously and that puts MI on the chopping block.

        Prob the most interesting presidential race in a hundred years.

        • @[email protected]
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          1 month ago

          Oh swallow that whole bowl of shit and quit complaining, she’s going to choose Hillary Clinton lol

          (From Nina Turner Wikipedia page)

          She told Peter Nicholas of The Atlantic, "it’s like saying to somebody, 'You have a bowl of shit in front of you, and all you’ve got to do is eat half of it instead of the whole thing.

          • @TropicalDingdong
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            11 month ago

            Walz went from 25% to 53% over the course of the day on polymarket.

            • @[email protected]
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              1 month ago

              Damn I might have to vote for her actually god damn let’s see who is more progressive…. As a voter in a solid blue state if she chooses buttigieg I’m leaving it blank… I love that he is gay I hate that he is neoliberal

              If the rally is in Pennsylvania which is for Pennsylvania

              As someone who likes space travel funding I also like the Astronaut but I guess he is a corporate lackey