The deal to bring an end to the fighting in Gaza is on the brink of collapsing — and there is no clear immediate alternative agreement that could be put forward in its place, according to two U.S. and two Israeli officials.
Both Israel and Hamas also disagree over Israel’s presence in both the Philadelphi Corridor, a stretch of land on the Egypt-Gaza border, and in a main throughway that leads to northern Gaza. Israel has said it wants to maintain its position in both places to ensure Hamas cannot smuggle goods in through Egypt and reposition its strongholds.
Many have realized for months there is only one way this will end: with no Palestinians in Gaza. Later, I expect at least a million dead and the rest living elsewhere.
There are at least 1/5 that many dead now, and the famine and disease will start claiming victims at a faster rate.
Once Gaza is depopulated, Israel will force the West Bank out next.
1/5 would be
200,000The current death toll is ~40,000. Or, about 4k a month.
Edit: I mathed wrong. 1/5 would be 400,000. So… Off by a factor of 10
Thr 40k estimate is about direct deaths: people dying from bullets, bombs, and rubble.
In almost every war, more people die from indirect deaths: disease, lack of access to food, lack of clean water, collapse of medical services, etc. Almost all reporting coming out of gaza has indicated that these factors are worse than in most wars, so it is reasonable to expect an even higher ratio of indirect deaths.
The 40k death figure comes from Hamas themselves. Also included is the number of deaths from famine, which is about 41 not 41 thousand. 41.
Like, I get that if you do nothing but read the headlines here, you probably think the situation is more dire. And it is dire, 1.9 million people have been displaced, that’s crazy. But you can’t just go “well, it feels like it should be higher so it probably is.”
Edit: Downvoting doesn’t change reality guys.
40,000 confirmed deaths via death certificate. There’s estimated tens of thousands more dead under rubble but without names and confirmations, they aren’t counted yet.