I really like those numbers! Last time I looked at a polling map, it was Trump needing to win just one battleground state. Now it looks like Harris is in that seat.
As a great example of your point, my vote for Harris-Walz will be one of an overwhelming majority in my state. But that majority we contribute doesn’t really count past that 50%. MY state is predictable, just like the popular vote seems to be trending g bluer again, but what happens in Pennsylvania has so much more impact.
Yeah, there was a point where Biden needed PA, MI and WI and was behind in all three. Losing any one was enough to lose the election. That was just before he dropped out.
It looks like they don’t even care enough to poll in my state. At 538.com, the last listed survey still puts Biden in the lead by 18-21 points. I wonder if that will change with Harris, LoL
I really like those numbers! Last time I looked at a polling map, it was Trump needing to win just one battleground state. Now it looks like Harris is in that seat.
As a great example of your point, my vote for Harris-Walz will be one of an overwhelming majority in my state. But that majority we contribute doesn’t really count past that 50%. MY state is predictable, just like the popular vote seems to be trending g bluer again, but what happens in Pennsylvania has so much more impact.
Yeah, there was a point where Biden needed PA, MI and WI and was behind in all three. Losing any one was enough to lose the election. That was just before he dropped out.
Harris is up in MI and WI and PA is a tossup.
It looks like they don’t even care enough to poll in my state. At 538.com, the last listed survey still puts Biden in the lead by 18-21 points. I wonder if that will change with Harris, LoL
Quite a few states are just a given they’re going to go one way or another so there’s no point spending money on polling there.
My state is the same, nothing in a month:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/oregon/