538 predicts a 2020 sized Harris victory, Georgia and North Carolina flip. THQ predicts a tight Harris win, mostly in the Rust Belt & maybe a NC grab? RCP predicts a tight Trump victory via Pennsylvania.

All 3 agree on Georgia going red and Michigan and Wisconsin going blue. Those states have held their colors firm for quite some time.

  • @ThatOneKrazyKaptainOPEnglish
    8•3 months ago

    I do find it interesting that despite the usual narrative and older polls, North Carolina is very widely being put to the left of Georgia in many recent polls. I also find it interesting that according to this, it might be less red than somewhere like Nevada(which is very odd indeed as North Carolina went red both times for Trump and Nevada went blue both times).

    • @[email protected]English
      8•3 months ago

      The governor is a popularly elected position; parties can’t gerrymander their way out of that. Roy Cooper–the governor of NC–is a Democrat. So even if the Republican party can gerrymander the shit out of the state to keep control of the legislative body, they can’t take the governor’s position.

      OTOH, Kemp annihilated Stacy Abrams twice in a row. The first time it was a little close. This last time it wasn’t.