@ThatOneKrazyKaptain to

NeoliberalEnglish • 4 months ago

Comparison of the 3 main polling conglomerates current election predictions (From left to right in more ways than one: Five Thirty Eight, The Hill Decision Desk HQ, and Real Clear Politics)

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Comparison of the 3 main polling conglomerates current election predictions (From left to right in more ways than one: Five Thirty Eight, The Hill Decision Desk HQ, and Real Clear Politics)

@ThatOneKrazyKaptain to

NeoliberalEnglish • 4 months ago

538 predicts a 2020 sized Harris victory, Georgia and North Carolina flip. THQ predicts a tight Harris win, mostly in the Rust Belt & maybe a NC grab? RCP predicts a tight Trump victory via Pennsylvania.

All 3 agree on Georgia going red and Michigan and Wisconsin going blue. Those states have held their colors firm for quite some time.

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2•4 months ago
538 did really good in 2016, I think an off 2022 prediction hurt their numbers a bit

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