• @[email protected]
    link
    fedilink
    12 months ago

    Thanks but these are the inputs to the model. The output would generally be a probabilistic prediction of the outcomes, like 60% chance of Harris victory, 40% Trump, etc.

    That’s the part you have to pay for I believe. Although the polling averages are interesting.

    • JesusOP
      link
      22 months ago

      Here ya go

        • JesusOP
          link
          12 months ago

          The old version of his model at 538 has it flipped. Harris wins 57 out of 100 times. Still basically coin toss.

          I wonder if his new model is accounting for some of the recent voting access changes.