• @[email protected]
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    fedilink
    120 days ago

    Thanks but these are the inputs to the model. The output would generally be a probabilistic prediction of the outcomes, like 60% chance of Harris victory, 40% Trump, etc.

    That’s the part you have to pay for I believe. Although the polling averages are interesting.

    • JesusOP
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      220 days ago

      Here ya go

        • JesusOP
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          120 days ago

          The old version of his model at 538 has it flipped. Harris wins 57 out of 100 times. Still basically coin toss.

          I wonder if his new model is accounting for some of the recent voting access changes.